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SUMMARY
• Southern Africa’s October 2022 to March 2023 rainfall season was overall favourable for the April 2023 main summer harvest.
• The eastern parts of the region experienced above-average rainfall conditions conducive to crop production, including South Africa, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Zambia.
• However, the western part of the region, including arid Namibia and Botswana, had poor rainfall with extended dry periods, above-average temperatures, and an early cessation of rain. A below average harvest is expected in these areas.
• From January 2023 onwards, devastating cyclones, storms and floods were recorded across the eastern part of the region. The powerful and long-enduring Tropical Cyclone Freddy battered Malawi, Madagascar and Mozambique. Zambia experienced destructive storms and torrential rains that resulted in severe flooding of communities and croplands.
• With the favourable rains, maize availability within the region is expected to remain adequate to cover demand this year, with surpluses in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Zambia. Access, however, especially among import-dependent countries, is expected to remain constrained by high transport costs.
• El Niño is predicted to affect the forthcoming October 2023 to March 2024 rainfall season, likely causing reduced precipitation and thus a lower April 2024 harvest and thus a deeper lean season from November 2024 to March 2025.
Source link : https://reliefweb.int/report/madagascar/wfp-southern-africa-seasonal-monitor-4-june-2023
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Publish date : 2023-06-16 03:00:00
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